2023 Emmys Predictions: First Week of August

PLEASE NOTE: This forecast, assembled by The Hollywood Reporter’s executive editor of awards coverage Scott Feinberg, reflects his best attempt to predict the behavior of the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences, not his personal preferences. He arrives at these standings by drawing upon consultations with voters and strategists, analysis of marketing and campaigns, results of awards that precede the Emmys and the history of the Emmys itself.

Projected StandingsSuccession (HBO/Max)The White Lotus (HBO/Max)The Last of Us (HBO/Max)Better Call Saul (AMC)Yellowjackets (Showtime)Andor (Disney+)The Crown (Netflix)House of the Dragon (HBO/Max)

Projected StandingsThe Bear (FX)Ted Lasso (Apple TV+)Abbott Elementary (ABC)Barry (HBO/Max)Jury Duty (Amazon Freevee)Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)Wednesday (Netflix)The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)

Projected StandingsBeef (Netflix)Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story (Netflix)Daisy Jones & the Six (Amazon)Fleishman Is in Trouble (FX)Obi-Wan Kenobi (Disney+)

Projected StandingsWeird: The Al Yankovic Story (Roku Channel)Prey (Hulu)Fire Island (Hulu)Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas (NBC) — podcast [Dolly Parton]Hocus Pocus 2 (Disney+)

Projected StandingsThe Late Show With Stephen Colbert (CBS) — podcast [Stephen Colbert]Jimmy Kimmel Live! (ABC) — podcast [Jimmy Kimmel]The Daily Show With Trevor Noah (Comedy Central) — podcast [Trevor Noah]The Problem With Jon Stewart (Apple TV+)Late Night With Seth Meyers (NBC) — podcast [Seth Meyers]

Projected StandingsLast Week Tonight With John Oliver (HBO/Max)Saturday Night Live (NBC) — podcast [Lorne Michaels]A Black Lady Sketch Show (HBO/Max) — podcast [Robin Thede]

Projected StandingsThe Apple Music Super Bowl LVII Halftime Show Starring Rihanna (Fox)Chris Rock: Selective Outrage (Netflix)Elton John Live: Farewell from Dodger Stadium (Disney+) — podcast [Elton John]The Oscars (ABC) — podcast (Jimmy Kimmel)The 75th Annual Tony Awards (CBS)

Projected StandingsJohn Mulaney: Baby J (Netflix) — podcast [John Mulaney]Norman Lear: 100 Years of Music & Laughter (ABC) — podcast [Norman Lear]Carol Burnett: 90 Years of Laughter + Love (NBC) — podcast [Carol Burnett]Trevor Noah: I Wish You Would (Netflix) — podcast [Trevor Noah]Lizzo: Live in Concert (HBO/Max) — podcast [Lizzo]Wanda Sykes: I’m an Entertainer (Netflix)

Projected StandingsThe U.S. and the Holocaust (PBS) — podcast [Ken Burns]The 1619 Project (Hulu)100 Foot Wave (HBO/Max)Dear Mama: The Saga of Afeni and Tupac Shakur (FX)Secrets of the Elephants (Nat Geo)

Projected StandingsStill: A Michael J. Fox Movie (Apple TV+) — podcast [Davis Guggenheim]Being Mary Tyler Moore (HBO/Max)Judy Blume Forever (Amazon)Pamela: A Love Story (Netflix)My Transparent Life (Amazon)

Projected StandingsMy Next Guest Needs No Introduction with David Letterman and Volodymyr Zelenskyy (Netflix) — podcast (David Letterman)Stanley Tucci: Searching for Italy (CNN)The Light We Carry: Michelle Obama and Oprah Winfrey (Netflix)The United Shades of America with W. Kamau Bell (CNN)Taste the Nation with Padma Lakshmi (Hulu)

Projected StandingsQueer Eye (Netflix)Shark Tank (ABC) — podcast [Mark Cuban]Love Is Blind (Netflix)Antiques Roadshow (PBS)Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives (Food)

Projected StandingsRuPaul’s Drag Race: Untucked (MTV) — podcast [RuPaul]Welcome to Wrexham (FX) — podcast [Ryan Reynolds]Indian Matchmaking (Netflix)Selling Sunset (Netflix)Vanderpump Rules (Bravo)

Projected StandingsRuPaul’s Drag Race (MTV) — podcast [RuPaul]The Voice (NBC)The Amazing Race (CBS)Top Chef (Bravo)Survivor (CBS)

Projected StandingsJeopardy! (Syndicated)The Price Is Right (CBS)Wheel of Fortune (Syndicated)Family Feud (Syndicated)That’s My Jam (NBC)

Projected StandingsPedro Pascal (The Last of Us)Kieran Culkin (Succession)Jeremy Strong (Succession) — podcastBrian Cox (Succession) — podcastBob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul) — podcastJeff Bridges (The Old Man) — podcast

Projected StandingsSarah Snook (Succession) — podcastMelanie Lynskey (Yellowjackets)Bella Ramsey (The Last of Us)Keri Russell (The Diplomat) — podcastSharon Horgan (Bad Sisters)Elisabeth Moss (The Handmaid’s Tale) — podcast

Projected StandingsMatthew Macfadyen (Succession)Nicholas Braun (Succession)F. Murray Abraham (The White Lotus) — podcastAlan Ruck (Succession)Alexander Skarsgard (Succession) — podcastMichael Imperioli (The White Lotus)Will Sharpe (The White Lotus)Theo James (The White Lotus)

Projected StandingsJennifer Coolidge (The White Lotus)J. Smith-Cameron (Succession)Rhea Seehorn (Better Call Saul) — podcastElizabeth Debicki (The Crown)Aubrey Plaza (The White Lotus) — podcastMeghann Fahy (The White Lotus)Simona Tabasco (The White Lotus)Sabrina Impacciatore (The White Lotus)

Projected StandingsJames Cromwell (Succession)Nick Offerman (The Last of Us)Murray Bartlett (The Last of Us)Lamar Johnson (The Last of Us)Keivonn Montreal Woodard (The Last of Us)Arian Moayed (Succession)

Projected StandingsAnna Torv (The Last of Us)Harriet Walter (Succession)Melanie Lynskey (The Last of Us)Storm Reid (The Last of Us)Hiam Abbass (Succession)Cherry Jones (Succession)

Projected StandingsJeremy Allen White (The Bear)Jason Sudeikis (Ted Lasso)Bill Hader (Barry) — podcastMartin Short (Only Murders in the Building) — podcastJason Segel (Shrinking) — podcast

Projected StandingsQuinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary) — podcastRachel Brosnahan (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) — podcastJenna Ortega (Wednesday)Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) — podcastChristina Applegate (Dead to Me)

Projected StandingsJames Marsden (Jury Duty)Tyler James Williams (Abbott Elementary)Brett Goldstein (Ted Lasso)Ebon Moss-Bachrach (The Bear)Henry Winkler (Barry) — podcastAnthony Carrigan (Barry)Phil Dunster (Ted Lasso)

Projected StandingsAyo Edebiri (The Bear)Sheryl Lee Ralph (Abbott Elementary) — podcastJanelle James (Abbott Elementary)Hannah Waddingham (Ted Lasso)Alex Borstein (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) — podcastJuno Temple (Ted Lasso)Jessica Williams (Shrinking)

Projected StandingsPedro Pascal (Saturday Night Live)Nathan Lane (Only Murders in the Building)Oliver Platt (The Bear)Sam Richardson (Ted Lasso)Luke Kirby (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)Jon Bernthal (The Bear)

Projected StandingsTaraji P. Henson (Abbott Elementary) — podcastQuinta Brunson (Saturday Night Live) — podcastJudith Light (Poker Face) — podcastSarah Niles (Ted Lasso)Harriet Walter (Ted Lasso)Becky Ann Baker (Ted Lasso)

Projected StandingsEvan Peters (Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)Taron Egerton (Black Bird) — podcastSteven Yeun (Beef) — podcastDaniel Radcliffe (Weird: The Al Yankovic Story)Michael Shannon (George & Tammy) — podcastKumail Nanjiani (Welcome to Chippendales) — podcast

Projected StandingsJessica Chastain (George & Tammy) — podcastAli Wong (Beef)Riley Keough (Daisy Jones & the Six)Kathryn Hahn (Tiny Beautiful Things) — podcastDominique Fishback (Swarm)Lizzy Caplan (Fleishman Is in Trouble)

Projected StandingsPaul Walter Hauser (Black Bird) — podcastRay Liotta (Black Bird) — podcastYoung Mazino (Beef)Joseph Lee (Beef)Richard Jenkins (Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)Murray Bartlett (Welcome to Chippendales)Jesse Plemons (Love & Death)

Projected StandingsNiecy Nash-Betts (Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)Claire Danes (Fleishman Is in Trouble) — podcastMerritt Wever (Tiny Beautiful Things)Camila Morrone (Daisy Jones & the Six)Maria Bello (Beef)Annaleigh Ashford (Welcome to Chippendales)Juliette Lewis (Welcome to Chippendales)

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